Monday 28 September 2009

Rumours of death of Copenhagen exaggerated, apparently...

The GCN's exclusive John Podesta-Rajendra Pachauri piece has kicked off a bit of a storm in the blogosphere. For starters, here's the Podesta-Pachauri piece...

http://www.globalclimatenetwork.info/articles/?id=3736

On motherjones, David Corn interprets this as Podesta trying to downplay expectations for Copenhagen on behalf of the White House...

http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2009/09/copenhagen-dead

Podesta responds on thinkprogress...

http://thinkprogress.org/2009/09/26/corn-kyoto/

As does Joe Romm on climateprogress...

http://climateprogress.org/2009/09/27/no-copenhagen-is-not-dead-quite-the-reverse-prospects-for-a-global-deal-have-never-been-better/

Podesta and Romm are, of course, correct. While the negotiations are deadlocked, no-one in the Global Climate Network is declaring them dead yet. Indeed, our work is intended to open up more space for negotiators by building the positive case for action on climate change. See our latest report focussing on job creation.

http://www.globalclimatenetwork.info/publicationsandreports/publication.asp?id=701...

Friday 25 September 2009

Governments must be bold to create low carbon jobs

The Global Climate Network is part way through a study reviewing and analysing the existing data on jobs creation in low carbon sectors. We're focussing in the main on electricity generation and we've just published an interim paper containing some early findings. You can read it on the GCN website using the following URL.

http://www.globalclimatenetwork.info/pressreleases/?id=3734

While there is still a shortage of reliable data on absolute numbers of jobs likely to be created in low carbon sectors, what's interesting about the results so far is that it appears there is a net jobs gain in switching from carbon intensive to low carbon energy. This is in part because construction jobs will be created, sometimes in places where jobs in general are scarce, but also because some of the key technologies require more intensive labour than their carbon intensive equivalents.

The most striking figures to date come from the GCN's Chinese member - Professor Jiahua Pan and his team at the Research Centre for Sustainable Development in Beijing. Early, and it should be emphasised tentative, calculations suggest that while the closure of carbon intensive factories with inefficient technology could reduce the growth in jobs by around 10 million, perhaps as many as 40 million additional jobs could be created in renewable energy, high-tech and service industries.

All predictions of this nature are necessarily only indicative. However, the lesson of the study - and one that I feel certain will be writ large across it when we come to present the final findings - is that governments need to commit themselves to bold policies in order to ensure opportunities of this magnitude come to pass. That means more ambitious renewable energy and energy efficiency targets, the investment of more government money, tougher product standards and intelligent policies surrounding the commercialisation of new technology.

Thursday 17 September 2009

REMOVE SUBSIDY FROM FOSSIL FUELS, SAYS WHITE HOUSE

According to the New York Times, the White House is asking other G20 governments to discuss cuts in fossil fuel subsidies at their summit next week. See: http://bit.ly/BTqnH

In the GCN's technology research, the fruits of which are in the 'Breaking Through...' report linked on the right hand side here, fossil fuel subsidies came through strongly as a barrier to the deployment of low-carbon technology, as you might expect. Why charge people more through emissions trading schemes for something that you're subsidising to begin with?

Remove the subsidy, but take care to ensure people on low incomes are compensated, especially with ready access to cheap, clean energy.

Wednesday 16 September 2009

EU AND US FALLING OUT OVER COP 15 SAYS GUARDIAN

The UK's Guardian newspaper reports exclusively that the EU and US are currently in disagreement over the shape of a new climate agreement (http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/sep/15/europe-us-copenhagen)

The report quotes senior EU and US negotiating sources and in many ways is unsurprising. The EU is committed to the Kyoto architecture and yet Kyoto is damaged goods in the US. It seems to me that while awkward, this conundrum is hardly insurmountable.

The more intractable issue is that of the politics in the US and elsewhere. The Guardian's report quotes Farhana Yamin, an environmental lawyer with the Institute of Development Studies in the UK, saying: "It seems a bit backwards. The danger is that the domestic tail starts to wag the international dog."

To my mind, this view seems back-to-front. Domestic politics are always the main constraint on international cooperation and it is at this level where we need the sharpest focus.